这是一套空话，马屁精最会说这种话。马屁精的话是最靠不住的，但是袁绍是个喜欢拍马屁的人，他听了以后马上就沾沾自喜了。沮授一看情况不妙，就再出来说话，这一回沮授的话就说得比较重了，拒收说：平定动乱，诛灭残暴，这个叫做义兵；穷兵黩武，仗势欺人，这个叫做骄兵。义兵从来就是胜利的，骄兵从来就是要失败的。现在天子在许，我们师出无名，于义则违，在政治上就先输了一招；而我们恃强凌弱，仗势欺人，在道义上又输了一招；如果我们再不讲究一点策略，我们还要急功近利，我们还要先发制人，我们还向毕其功于一役，那么我们在策略上又输了一招，这个战争是肯定打不赢的。
This is a set of empty words, which flatterers are best at saying. The flatterer’s words are the most unreliable, but Yuan Shao is a person who likes to flatter, and he immediately became complacent after listening to them. As soon as Ju Zhu saw that the situation was not good, he came out to speak again. This time, Ju Zhu’s words became more serious, and he refused to say, “Calm down the turmoil and put an end to cruelty. This is called a righteous soldier;”; “Military belligerence and bullying are called arrogant soldiers.”. Righteous soldiers always win, arrogant soldiers always fail. “Now that the Son of Heaven is making promises, we have learned from unknown sources, but righteousness is against us. In politics, we have lost a move first.”; And we bullied the weak, bullied others, and lost another moral move; “If we don’t pay attention to strategy any more, we still need to be eager for quick success and instant profits, we need to preempt the enemy, and we also need to make a contribution to the war. If we lose another tactical move, we will definitely not win the war.”.
这个话时说到了根本上，战争是什么？战争是政治的延续，所以进行一场战争，政治上是否有利、道义上是否有理是非常重要的，而袁绍的亏是首先就亏在这个地方。可以说，政治上失利，道义上失理，战略上失策，是袁绍失败的首要原因。
＊根据易中天先生的分析，袁绍在官渡之战之前不听谋士劝告，一意孤行已经在政治上输了一招。但是袁绍毕竟兵多将广，政治上的失利完全可以通过军事上的实战挽救回来，夺取胜利还是有可能的。但是最终袁绍还是失败了，这是为什么呢？
When I said this, basically, what is war? “War is a continuation of politics, so it is very important to conduct a war whether it is politically advantageous and morally justified, and Yuan Shao’s losses were primarily due to this area.”. It can be said that political failure, moral failure, and strategic failure were the primary reasons for Yuan Shao’s failure.
According to Mr. Yi Zhongtian’s analysis, Yuan Shao ignored the advice of his counselors before the Battle of Guandu and had already lost a political battle by acting willfully. However, Yuan Shaobi has a large number of troops and a broad army, and his political defeat can be fully recovered through practical military combat. Victory is still possible. But in the end, Yuan Shao failed. Why is this?
另外袁绍在指挥上也失误。曹操栖息白马的时候，他不守白马去救延津，中了曹操声东击西、调虎离山之计是一误。曹操以退为进，拉长他的补给线，袁绍上当受骗，挺进官渡是二误。相持阶段，许攸建议袁绍出奇兵突袭许都，劫持天子，袁绍不采纳是三误。曹操奇袭乌巢的时候，袁绍不派重兵救乌巢，听信郭图的建议，派重兵攻官渡，丢了乌巢，这是四误。可以说在这场战争中，袁绍的指挥是一误再误，所以有人说官渡之战的结局与其说是曹操用兵如神，不如说是袁绍愚蠢透顶。俗话说，兵熊熊一个，将熊熊一窝，主帅是这个水平，这场战争是肯定打不赢的。
In addition, Yuan Shao also made mistakes in command. When Cao Cao was resting on the white horse, he did not guard the white horse and went to save Yanjin. It was a mistake to fall victim to Cao Cao’s plan to use his influence to attack the west and lure the tiger away from the mountain. Cao Cao used retreat as a way to advance, lengthening his supply line, and Yuan Shao was deceived. It was a mistake to advance to Guandu. At the stalemate stage, Xu You suggested that Yuan Shao send out a surprise attack on Xu Du and hijack the Emperor. Yuan Shao’s refusal to accept this was a mistake. When Cao Cao raided Wuchao, Yuan Shao did not send heavy troops to save Wuchao. Upon Guo Tu’s suggestion, he sent heavy troops to attack Guandu and lost Wuchao. This was a mistake. It can be said that in this war, Yuan Shao’s command was repeatedly mistaken, so some people said that the outcome of the Guandu War was not so much Cao Cao’s use of force as Yuan Shao’s utter stupidity. As the saying goes, if the commander is at this level, the war will definitely not be won.
袁绍指挥失误的根本原因在于此人缺少帅才，他的特点是什么呢？叫做见事迟，什么叫见事迟？就是反应慢，总是不能立即做出决断，而且优柔寡断。我们前面讲过，官渡之战正式打响之前，袁绍的军队开过来了，曹操的军队也开过来了，隔河相峙，这个节骨眼上曹操居然忙里偷闲打了刘备一家伙。当是曹操决定打刘备的时候大家都反对，说大敌当前，我们的头号敌人是袁绍啊，为什么不打袁绍我们去打刘备呢？曹操说刘备才是真正的英雄，必须趁他羽翼还没有丰满把他干掉，否则就来不及了。大家说，我们如果去打刘备，袁绍抄我们的后路来袭击我们怎么办？曹操说放心吧，这哥们儿我太熟悉他了，老朋友了，见事迟，等我们打完刘备以后他才反应得过来，你等着吧。果然，袁绍就失去了一个大好的战机。实际上这个时候田丰是建议袁绍袭击曹操的，袁绍说什么呢？你看我这个小儿子正生病呢，发高烧，打什么仗啊？气得田丰拿着手杖在地上杵着说，哎呀，有这样当帅的吗？大好战机不赶紧抓住，你管你小儿子发什么高烧啊你，真是，这是袁绍自己发高烧这叫。
The fundamental reason for Yuan Shao’s command mistakes lies in his lack of handsome talents. What are his characteristics? It’s called being late to see things. What’s it called being late to see things? It is a slow reaction, always unable to make immediate decisions, and indecisive. As we mentioned earlier, before the official battle of Guandu began, Yuan Shao’s army came over, and Cao Cao’s army also came over, facing each other across the river. At this juncture, Cao Cao secretly attacked Liu Bei and his fellow. When Cao Cao decided to attack Liu Bei, everyone objected. They said that the enemy is now in the enemy’s position and our number one enemy is Yuan Shao. Why not attack Yuan Shao and let’s go fight Liu Bei? Cao Cao said that Liu Bei is the real hero, and he must be killed before his wings are full, otherwise it will be too late. Everyone said, what if we go to attack Liu Bei and Yuan Shao attacks us from our rear? Cao Cao said, “Don’t worry, I know him too well, old friend. It’s too late to see things. He won’t be able to react until we finish shooting Liu Bei. Please wait.”. Sure enough, Yuan Shao lost a great fighter. In fact, Tian Feng suggested Yuan Shao attack Cao Cao at this time. What did Yuan Shao say? “You see my little son is sick and has a high fever. What kind of war is he fighting?”? “Tian Feng was so angry that he clubbed his cane on the ground and said, ‘Oh, is there anyone who is so handsome?'”? “If you don’t catch the great fighter plane quickly, what do you care about your little son’s high fever? You’re really serious. This is Yuan Shao’s own high fever.”.
