就是说你现在应该牢牢守住你江东的地盘，等待北方发生事情。跟诸葛亮说天下有变是一模一样的，鲁肃说一旦北方出事，将军您就西进，先消灭黄祖——就是刘表的部将，守在江夏郡，就是现在武汉市那块地方——先讨伐黄祖，再消灭刘表，再进攻益州，把刘璋那个地方也拿下来，和曹操划江而治，这个时候你就可以建号帝王，以图天下，这个时候你就称皇帝，然后再找机会北上统一中国。
That means you should now firmly hold your territory in the east of the Yangtze River and wait for something to happen in the north. It’s exactly the same as Zhuge Liang’s saying that the world has changed. Lu Su said that if there is an accident in the north, you will go west, and first destroy Huang Zu, Liu Biao’s lieutenant, and stay in Jiangxia County, which is now the place in Wuhan. First fight against Huang Zu, then destroy Liu Biao, and then attack Yizhou, and take down Liu Zhang’s place. Then you can divide the river with Cao Cao to govern. At this time, you can build an emperor to figure out the world. At this time, you will be called the emperor, Then we will find an opportunity to go north and unify China.
＊在乱世的汉末，除了诸葛亮的“隆中对”之外，还有一个鲁肃版的“隆中对”，历史上的鲁肃并不像《三国演义》中所描述的那样忠厚和迂腐，其实他也是一个能够审时度势和深谋远虑的政治家。鲁肃对当时时势的设想和诸葛亮的“隆中对”可以说具有异曲同工之妙，他们都把曹操看作是头号敌人，而且都认为曹操一时半会儿消灭不了，另外他们都主张“先三分，后一统”，那么，这两个版本的“隆中对”有什么不同之处吗？
鲁肃这个的“隆中对”和诸葛亮的“隆中对”有所不同，虽然他们都主张先三分后一统，但是鲁肃的三分和诸葛亮的三分是不一样的，鲁肃的“三分”是孙权、刘表、曹操；诸葛亮的“三分”是刘备、孙权、曹操。都有孙权和曹操，另一方一个是刘表，一个是刘备。这个不奇怪，因为鲁肃的“隆中对”是在建安五年提出来的，那个时候刘备还没搞清楚干什么呢，在哪儿呢。建安五年我们知道是官渡之战的那个年代，鲁肃怎么会想到把刘备算一份的；而诸葛亮是替刘备谋划，他怎么会把刘表算一份呢。而等到赤壁之战以后，甚至在赤壁之战之前，刘表去世以后，鲁肃就迅速调整了政策，就马上把三分天下的那一“分”从刘表换成了刘备。
In the late Han Dynasty during the troubled times, in addition to Zhuge Liang’s “Long Zhong Pai”, there was also a version of “Long Zhong Pai” by Lu Su. Historically, Lu Su was not as loyal and pedantic as described in “The Romance of the Three Kingdoms”. In fact, he was also a politician who was able to assess the situation and have foresight. Lu Su’s vision of the current situation and Zhuge Liang’s “Long Zhong Pai” can be said to have similarities and differences. They both regarded Cao Cao as the number one enemy, and both believed that Cao Cao could not be eliminated for a while. In addition, they all advocated “first three points, then one unity”. So, is there any difference between the two versions of “Long Zhong Pai”?
The “Long Zhong Pai” of Lu Su is different from the “Long Zhong Pai” of Zhuge Liang. Although they both advocate first dividing into three parts and then unifying, Lu Su’s three parts are different from Zhuge Liang’s three parts. Lu Su’s “three parts” are Sun Quan, Liu Biao, and Cao Cao; Zhuge Liang’s “three points” are Liu Bei, Sun Quan, and Cao Cao. There are Sun Quan and Cao Cao on both sides, with Liu Biao and Liu Bei on the other side. This is not surprising, because Lu Su’s “Long Zhong Pai” was proposed in the fifth year of Jian’an, when Liu Bei had not yet figured out what he was doing or where he was. In the five years of Jian’an, we know that it was the time of the Battle of Guandu. How could Lu Su have thought of counting Liu Bei as one; “Zhuge Liang was planning for Liu Bei, so how could he count Liu Biao as one?”. After the Battle of Chibi, even before the Battle of Chibi, and after Liu Biao’s death, Lu Su quickly adjusted his policy and immediately replaced the “point” that divided the world from Liu Biao to Liu Bei.
第二个不同，就是诸葛亮提出来的口号，或者说他最终极目标是霸业可成、汉室可兴，汉室可以复兴；而鲁肃是明明白白的说汉室不可复兴，这是他们的不同，这是立场的不同。因为诸葛亮要辅佐刘备成就大业，他必须打出复兴汉室的这个旗号，而且我也可以现在提前跟大家说，就是这个口号后来成为诸葛亮身上沉重的政治包袱，这是第二点不同。
第三点不同，就是鲁肃的战略规划是把三分天下看做前提，就是现在已经三分了，孙权、刘表、曹操。统一的步骤是什么呢？先消灭刘表，再西进拿下益州，和曹操划江而治，也就是要“三国”变成“南北朝”。而诸葛亮的做法是什么样呢？先拿下荆州，再拿下益州，把西边这块地方占住，等孙权和曹操两个打起来，等他们两个打得差不多了以后，我们北上、东进统一中国，是把“三国”变成“东西汉”，这是两个版本“隆中对”的第三点不同。
The second difference is the slogan put forward by Zhuge Liang, or his ultimate goal is to achieve hegemony, the prosperity of the Han family, and the revival of the Han family; However, Lu Su clearly stated that the Han family cannot be revived, which is their difference and their position. “Because Zhuge Liang wants to assist Liu Bei in achieving great achievements, he must uphold the banner of reviving the Han family, and I can also tell you in advance now that this slogan later became a heavy political burden on Zhuge Liang, which is the second difference.”.
The third difference is that Lu Su’s strategic plan regards the three divisions of the world as the prerequisite, and that is, it has already been divided into three parts: Sun Quan, Liu Biao, and Cao Cao. What are the steps for unification? “First destroy Liu Biao, then move west to take Yizhou and rule by crossing the river with Cao Cao, which means that the” Three Kingdoms “will become the” Northern and Southern Dynasties. “. What is Zhuge Liang’s approach? “Take Jingzhou first, then Yizhou, and occupy this area in the west. When Sun Quan and Cao Cao fight together, and when they are almost ready to fight, we move north and east to unify China, transforming the” Three Kingdoms “into the” Eastern and Western Han Dynasties. “This is the third difference between the two versions of” Longzhong Pai “.”.
